India has over 800 million voters. The
grand election circus of the largest democracy commenced in early March and
this will continue until mid-May when the results are declared on May 16th.
Transparency and accountability are at the core in the present elections. Every
contesting candidate’s complete information is available online on the click of
a button. This information ranges from personal profile to assets and wealth
owned by the candidate and his/her immediate family members, sources of income,
business interests, criminal record and past electoral history and legislative
performance. For some of the well-known candidates this is even published in
newspapers and is discussed on television news channels. Civil Society
organizations like PRS Legislature and Association for Democratic Reforms
actively analyse such information and make it available in public domain. Thanks
to technology there is an overload of information. So Transparency Zindabad!
(Long live transparency)
Election
Process Accountability
The access to such information has led
common citizens and opponent candidates to pick up sensitive information and
make complaints to the Election Commission (which conducts the elections) to
cancel nominations of candidates. In addition huge complaints also come to the
Election Commission about violation of code of conduct and these further
burdens the Election Commission to investigate, monitor, issue show cause
notices and take actions. So democracy is at full play. As a citizen you can
record a campaign speech of any candidate on your mobile phone and send the
clip having any objectionable material like hate speech to the Election
Commission for review and action. While citizens participate actively in supporting
the watch dog process the actions taken are often disappointing because it
usually ends with a formal apology, or at best a brief sanction against
campaigning in a particular region. Some violations have been exceptional and
should have resulted in cancelation of candidature but the Election Commission
has failed to take stringent action. Some examples below:
·
The country’s agriculture
minister Sharad Pawar in one of his campaign speeches says that citizens can
actually vote twice in the election because of the election being conducted in various
phases. He gave an example to workers in Mumbai saying that back in your
villages election is on 17th April so go and vote there, then come
back to Mumbai and vote again (if you are registered in Mumbai also) on 24th April. But be
sure that you wipe out the election ink mark on your finger. When questioned
about his statement Pawar said that he made the statement as a joke. When
questioned by the Election Commission he apologised and the matter ended
·
Top BJP (the Hindu right wing
party) leaders like Amit Shah have gone on record making hate speeches against
Muslims and urging Hindus to vote for the BJP so that Muslims can be taught a
lesson later if the BJP comes to power. A guarded apology followed and the Election
Commission could not do much further
·
Candidates in their campaigns
get away making casteist statements which are violative not only of the code of
conduct but also the Constitution. You apologise or say you were quoted out of
context and the dust settles
·
The Samajwadi (Socialist) Party
leader Mulayam Singh Yadav gets away with a statement that rapists are just
misguided boys and do not deserve a harsh punishment and if they come to power
they will reverse the recent changes made in the rape laws that makes the
punishment for rape very severe
What we observe is that transparency is
very strong in terms of access to information, active citizen engagement does
happen but appropriate actions don’t follow and hence accountability fails. So
in this manner the election engine of India chugs along and has presently (17th
April) crossed the half way mark.
The analysis of candidate information by
ADR shows that 23% candidates of the current government currently have criminal
cases against them and in case of the BJP, which opinion polls indicate is the
frontrunner for the new government, 34% candidates have current criminal cases
registered against them. The Election Commission says that they can only
disqualify candidates if they have been convicted. When political parties are
confronted as to why they have put up so many candidates with criminal records
they say that these are our key candidates who will help us win and if the EC
has no objection then its okay. This shows the complete absence of ethics
amongst political parties in selection of their candidates. The thrust of this
election is that the ruling combine has been there for 10 years and it is time
for Change. Is this the change voters want?
Giving
Change a Chance?
In the last two years politics in India has
seen huge churning. The current regime has seen its worse phase in performance
with a downslide in its key flagship development programs like NRHM (health),
SSA (Education), MGNREGS (employment guarantee), and food security among others
due to underfunding and mismanagement. The economy’s growth is down from 9% to
5% as part of the global recession. Thanks to the CAG’s audit reports and the
courts huge scams and corruption has been exposed and for the first time there
have been convictions and top politicians and bureaucrats are cooling their
heels in jails. So there is a general anti-incumbency mood against the present
government.
Civil society organizations ran a huge
anti-corruption campaign across the country demanding a strong anti-corruption law
and setting up the institution of the Jan Lokpal (Peoples Ombudsman) to
investigate and try cases of corruption. The campaign got politicized and in
late 2013 they formed a political party and contested elections in the state of
Delhi. Citizens of Delhi showed their angst against the ruling Congress party
and voted them out completely. While the BJP was the largest single party they
did not have the requisite numbers to form the government. So as the second
largest party the anti-corruption movement now called the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP
or Common Peoples Party) was invited to form the government with external
support of the party they ousted. This government led by the anti-corruption
crusader Arvind Kejriwal lasted for 49 days and quit as they could not get
their Jan Lokpal bill passed in the state assembly. Subsequently the national
elections were announced and AAP too decided to go national and is contesting
over 400 seats of the 543 total.
Prior to the current elections various
opinion polls have been conducted and what is apparent across the board is that
people want change. Across opinion polls there is unanimity that the BJP led
right wing coalition is set to cross the half way mark of 272 seats. The BJP
campaign centres around its prospective Prime Ministerial candidate Narendra
Modi who is a controversial figure for his support of the anti-Muslim carnage
in Gujarat state of which he is the Chief Minister. Opinion polls state that
there is a Modi wave across most of the country, especially in west, north and
central India. Modi is viewed as a fascist with strong linkages with various
right wing Hindu organizations like the Rashtriya Swayamsewak Sangh (RSS) and
the Vishwa Hindu Parishad (VHP) and he idolizes Adolf Hitler. So in progressive
circles as well as amongst minorities he is seen as a threat to the democratic
fabric of India. So in contrast to the Modi wave that opinion polls have
projected there is a silent coalition of threatened groups, especially
minorities and dalits who would en masse vote against Modi. Further given that
across the country regional parties have a strong presence, the likelihood of
individual regional parties gaining form this duality of anti-incumbency and
anti-Modi is quite high. This mathematics is something which perhaps the
opinion polls may have failed to capture. So there is a high possibility that
some of these regional parties would be in a strong position to call the shots
post-election if there is a fractured verdict. The bottom line is that there is
huge political fluidity and only May 16th, the day of the results,
will reveal the final picture. So what Change we will get for our future
governance we have to wait and see. Change there will be as the voter turnout
hitherto has been encouraging with over eight percentage points higher than the
previous elections.
The
Future of Accountability
Accountability in governance is a major
concern agonizing the voter, apart from corruption. Accountability and
corruption are seen as two sides of the same coin. People want improved
governance. They want better social services like, health, education and
welfare. They want more mileage from the taxes they have paid. They want
corruption eliminated. The corporate sector too is demanding stronger
governance and accountability but less government. So the mood of the
electorate is clearly in favour of stronger accountability so that governance
improves. This is the Change people want. Whosoever comes to power would have
to deliver this or face peoples’ wrath. In the past two years people have come
out on the streets against corruption and have changed the politics. If the new
government fails to deliver good governance people are likely to come back on
the streets. The new Government must keep this in mind and deliver good
governance and be accountable to its citizens.
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